William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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FANATICS – AT 10:01 A.M. ET:  One of the most common questions asked by pollsters is the right track/wrong track question.  You've seen it:  "Do you think the country is on the right track or wrong track?"  Some polling experts suggest that the answer to this question can predict trends in presidential elections.

Scott Rasmussen asks the question regularly.  But even more intriguing than the overall result is the breakdown of which groups are in each camp.  Consider:

For the second week in a row, 25% of Likely U.S. Voters now say the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken the week ending Sunday, July 10...

...Sixty-eight percent (68%) of voters say the country is heading down the wrong track, showing no change from last week. Since January 2009, pessimism in the nation’s current direction has ranged from 57% to 72%.
Most Republicans (89%) and voters not affiliated with either political party (70%) believe the country is heading down the wrong track. Democrats are evenly divided.

Whaa?  Democrats are evenly divided, in the face of overwheming evidence that we're going over a cliff?  I can understand a dramatic contrast between Republican and Democratic opinion, but how does one account for the contrast between independent and Democratic views?  Well, look at this:

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of black voters think the country is heading in the right direction, a view shared by just 20% of whites and 27% of voters of other ethnicities.

Obviously, that is fanatical loyalty to Obama.  It helps explain why Obama's poll ratings never dip below a given point.  There is a base that would follow him to Hades.

A majority (59%) of the Political Class believes the country is heading in the right direction. Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Mainstream voters disagree.

Can you believe that one?  The political class is heavily to the left, and, once again, it demonstrates its loyalty to Chairman Barack.  Why, how can the chairman go wrong?

Time for the voters to show the political class who's boss.

July 16, 2011